worst Super As Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers went back and forth to win the title, Super Bowl LIV is the 13th-best Super Bowl on our list. Kansas City Chiefs +500 (bet $10 to win $60 total), Its really hard to get to the Super Bowl. Jason McIntyre is a FOX Sports betting analyst, and he also writes about the NFL and NBA Draft. FPI then uses those ratings to simulate the season 20,000 times to create projections. It's what helps people grow. The Bills are good enough to get to the Super Bowl this year -- and win it. You can follow him on Twitter at @jasonrmcintyre. Cam Newton had an MVP season to remember and ran an offense that produced 31.3 points per game. The only team in the division with a positive FPI rating -- making it above average -- is the Dallas Cowboys, who are just barely there at +0.7 (meaning they would be favored over an average NFL team by less than a point). The game was a blowout but did give us one of the most iconic moments in Super Bowl history: Don Beebe chasing down a prematurely celebrating Leon Lett. They took down what was supposed to be the greatest team in NFL history and instead became one of the least likely Super Bowl champions in recent memory. Joe Namath may have guaranteed a Super Bowl III win over the Baltimore Colts, but he didn't say anything about being the best team of all time. And no one has it rougher than the Bears in 2021. Dan Marino's lone Super Bowl and this team was his best shot. Use of this website (including any and all parts and components) constitutes your acceptance of these, place your futures bets on who is going to win, Every NFL team's 2021 win totals, ranked from worst to best bet. They play in an easy division and should be able to host a playoff game. They were also had to win all their road playoff games, which during the time, was unheard of. The New York team that was crowned champion was far from elite. An 11-5 record was good enough for first place in the AFC East, yet New England was 5-5 through 10 games. This game mightve been higher on the list if the Jets hadnt pulled off the AFL-NFL upset the prior season. One of the bigger mismatches in Super Bowl history, this one gets bonus points for being the first one and the Chiefs actually keeping things interesting for 30 minutes after going into the half trailing by only four points. The Chiefs rank No. Baltimore Ravens +1500 (bet $10 to win $160 total), The best team in the rugged AFC North, but the least talked about. Quick, use one word to describe Super Bowl XL in Detroit. An 115 team that didn't exceed in anything, but had John Elway. Cole Beasley is also a reliable target for Allen, who does as much damage from the outside as well as the slot. They went 7-3 in one-score games last year and led the NFL in turnover margin (+11). Buffalo actually led going into halftime before being outscored 21-0 in the second half. New head coach Arthur Smith has some work to do this summer. Aaron Rodgers hasnt been back since 2011., The Chiefs have gone to two straight. And it isn't particularly bullish on their prospects. But the outputs are all the same: We're still talking football -- and about the chances of each team's success -- which now includes 17 regular-season games and an expanded playoff field. Every NFL team's 2021 Super Bowl odds, ranked from worst to Between free agency and players opting back in from 2020, New England had a massive talent infusion.. They had one of the league's best defenses that year. The Cardinals defense significantly improved with the addition of J.J. Watt and the return of Chandler Jones on the pass rush. Detroit has a young and talented offensive line (average age 24 years old) to protect new quarterback Jared Goffwho is looking to resurrect his career after getting traded by the Los Angeles Rams. That's ridiculous. Worst FPI believes there is an 8% chance that the Chiefs face the Bucs again, more than any other potential matchup. Washington, despite being the reigning champ and making an improvement at quarterback in the form of Ryan Fitzpatrick, is second (29%), followed by the Giants (15%) and Eagles (11%). The aforementioned Dilfer-led passing game ranked only 23rd in the regular season (in fairness to Dilfer, he did replace Tony Banks midway through the year), and the only time the chains seemed to move was when rookie Jamal Lewis barreled forward for three or four yards. When you have to play the two toughest divisions in the NFL NFC West, AFC North the uphill climb is real. Ryan Tannehill has been a top five quarterback over the last two seasons and it hasn't been talked about enough. 5. XFL Week 3 preview: Can AJ McCarron, Battlehawks continue their fourth-quarter heroics? Well, they blew their lead in the big game, but they also weren't a great defensive team. It did earn him a bunch of money. Despite the memorable moments, this game was a bit of a letdown with two Hall of Fame quarterbacks not putting on the offensive show we expected. It was the biggest upset in football history for a reason. Brett Favre was brilliant in his only Super Bowl win. 29. 15. 6. Watson led the NFL in passing yards and yards per attempt, carrying an offense that finished 31st in the league in rushing. worst The Vikings uncharacteristically had a poor defense in 2020, ranking 29th in points allowed after finishing as a top 10 unit the previous five seasons. San Francisco 49ers +1400 (bet $10 to win $150 total), Tricky to put San Francisco here given the uncertainty at QB, but theres no way they actually start 21-year-old Trey Lance, right?. As Rodgers' future hung in the balance over the summer, so too did the Packers' projections. This should have been a great game. US residents can opt out of "sales" of personal data. Their defense only gave up 9.5 points per game in a 14-game season. This was the first of the Cowboys three Super Bowl wins in the 90s. It also gave us the first and only Super Bowl blackout. NFL fans would have to get used that kind of ending. Its more fun to speculate on the Bears QB race than it is their actual Super Bowl chances., 24. Arizona was on its way to the playoffs before Kyler Murray's shoulder injury limited him late in the season, hurting a potential All-Pro campaign. You can make a case that every team that endured the best shots from every one of their opponents throughout the season, found a way to win enough Slightly. It truly is a remarkable tale, but the Patriots were nothing special on the way there. Unless Tua Tagovailoa makes a Josh Allen-type leap and the offensive line improves, theres just no shot at the Super Bowl. Philadelphia Eagles +7500 (bet $10 to win $760 total), The biggest preseason long shot to win the Super Bowl was the 1999 St. Louis Rams behind unknown QB Kurt Warner; the Rams were 300-1. The universe wont let the Vikings back in the Super Bowl because all of the ones they made in the 70s ended up being unwatchable. Jalen Hurts will not pull a The 10 Worst NFL Teams to Ever Win a Super Bowl - Sportscasting 5 offense. 5h. The Jaguars are still going to be exciting to watch in 2021 as Urban Meyer is the best college coach to enter the NFL in years, having arguably the most talented quarterback prospect since Andrew Luck in Trevor Lawrence. They had an unimpressive 115 record, but the 2002 Raiders were a well-balanced, finely tuned machine. 11 in the league, per FPI) isn't a problem with that kind of strength on the other side of the ball. Obviously a dramatic ending helps, but that doesnt alway mean a great game. The Los Angeles WebWell looking at it from a "in comparison to the rest of the league that year" perspective, as far as defenses that allowed the most points, these rank as the 3 worst defenses to win a Super Bowl: 2011 Giants were the 25th ranked defense 2006 Colts were the 23rd ranked defense 2009 Saints were the 20th ranked defense Dallas got out to an early 10-point lead and never looked back. Keep in mind, those numbers assume there is some chance Wentz plays in each of these games, particularly the later ones. With an 11-2-1 record, this group was one of many Vikings teams that should have won the big game. The eventual champion Colts committed seven, count them, seven turnovers. The AFL just wasn't ready yet, but they were still very good for AFL standards with an 11-2-1 record. "Broadway Joe" completed just 49.2 percent of his passes during the season and threw two more interceptions (17) than he did touchdowns (15). Brett Favre had 35 passing touchdowns and Dorsey Levens ran for 1,435 yards. It all makes for a nice story, but the fact remains that the Giants were not a superb team. I have multiple tickets on the Jags - win the division, wins over, win the Super Bowl. 19. As of now, FPI is working under the assumption that two rookies -- the Jaguars' Lawrence and the Jets' Wilson -- are their respective teams' current starters. Andy Reids never-ending two-minute drill robbed us of what could have been an exciting ending. Don't sleep on the rest of the league, of course. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. The NFC, with two of the top six teams in FPI rating, is a little less threatening than the AFC. The game wasnt nearly as close as the score indicates, though. And while the effect isn't dramatic, they would each be a little better off if the other weren't around. The AFC is considerably tougher than the NFC. Drafting Ja'Marr Chase over Penei Sewell was a questionable move, especially since Cincinnati's atrocious offensive line led to franchise quarterback Joe Burrow tearing his ACL in his rookie season. This is one of the worst rosters in the league, but Houston (at least) has a chance to win games if Watson plays. The presence of Lawrence gives Jacksonville hope for the first time in years. The Lions are in the first year of a rebuild, as Dan Campbell looks to change the culture of a franchise that has just one playoff win over the last 63 years. Ill assume you didnt watch the According to statistics, the 2011 New York Giants. Which is funny considering the team they beat, the 2011 Patriots, would have also been the worst New Orleans Saints +3000 (bet $10 to win $310 total), The most puzzling number on the board, as Im much lower on the Saints than this.. The agony of defeat. The NFL regular season begins in just days. The Broncos could muster only 35 net passing yards. Listen below and follow the Pick Six podcast for a daily dose of everything you need to follow pro football. A solid team all around, but more importantly, proficient on offense and defense. Out of 35 qualified quarterbacks last season, Darnold finished 33rd in completion percentage, 30th in interception percentage, 32nd in yards per attempt, and 35th in passer rating. Replying to @GoBirds___ and @FanDuel. Osi Umenyiora was the team's only starting Pro Bowler and the Giants trailed in every postseason game they played. Ranked below are the 20 worst NFL players to win a Super Bowl since 2000. Buffalo Bill's in 1992 super bowl against Dalls Cowboys have up 52 points to there offense managed 17pts (How about them cowboys.) that's pretty ba It was never even close as the Seahawks dominated from the opening snap. 28. Super Bowl For a team with quarterback uncertainty, it could be much worse. Kind of pains me to say it, but it was the 2011 Giants. They shipped 400 points that year in the regular season and normally that leads to a losing Stroud, Will Levis, Anthony Richardson don't lack confidence at NFL combine, Bettors are backing Bears, Lions, Jets to make, win Super Bowl, NFLPA report cards show link between player-friendly coaches and winning, Georgia's Nolan Smith turns heads with blazing 40 at NFL combine, Alabama QB Bryce Young confident in abilities, downplays questions about frame, Stroud opposes Bears drafting him, defends Fields: 'That's his team', Sharp: Ravens have themselves to blame for not getting Lamar Jackson help, 49ers offseason preview: Potential Super Bowl team must figure out QB spot. Were on a run of blowouts now. This was the year that Joe Montana and Steve Young alternated starts at quarterback until eventually Montana firmly took the reins down the stretch. Washington Football Team +5500 (bet $10 to win $560 total), Ryan Fitzpatrick, a guy who hasnt been to the playoffs in his career, is suddenly going to get to the Super Bowl?. Burrow should be ready by Week 1, and has an impressive cast of receivers that will make the Bengals passing game even more lethal in 2021. But we are going to look past that kick for just a minute. Reporting on what you care about. Im all aboard the Trevor Lawrence bandwagon., 8. Allen set the Bills' franchise record for passing yards in a season (4,544) and passing touchdowns (37), finishing with a 107.2 passer rating. If Lance does beat out Garoppolo, that would be a sign he is comparable to the veteran, and thus a downgrade might not make sense. Let us first acknowledge that four future Hall of Famers were drafted by the Pittsburgh Steelers in 1974 (Lynn Swann, Jack Lambert, John Stallworth and Mike Webster). Teams that barely squeak into the playoffs with a wild-card berth have become frequent commodities on this list, so it only feels appropriate to include the first wild-card team to ever win the Super Bowl. To show you how wildly that fluctuates, in those categories the year before, Miami ranked 29th, 24th, and 27th.. Those numbers are buoyed by two factors: FPI projects them to have the best defense in the league. that each ranks in the top 10. 1 seed in the AFC (32%) and reach the Super Bowl (30%). 25. Is this a bad thing?No, but it does not exactly make for one of the most dominant championship teams of all time. He had a gambling podcast for FOX, "Coming Up Winners," in 2018 and 2019. Winning close games and narrowly escaping the agony of defeat is one way to hoist the Lombardi Trophy, and while that path may not be the most exciting or exhilarating, it has been traveled on multiple occasions. Tom Brady also led a top offense in his MVP season, finishing with a 133 regular-season record. A really strong offense, but their defense hurt their overall grade since there were less teams in the league. 1: 3: 17: 313: 305: 40.0: Miamis three points is still the fewest points scored in a Super Bowl. Just when the Falcons appeared to have a team set to contend for a playoff berth in 2021, Atlanta traded Julio Jonesto the Titans for draft picks. FPI considers Houston more than a touchdown worse than an average NFL team on a neutral field and believes the Texans simultaneously have the worst offense Before arriving at FOX, he created the website The Big Lead, which he sold in 2010. The 1991 Redskins might be the greatest team in NFL history, which bumps this game up a few spots. As a Jets fan, I could build a flimsy case for the Jets to make the playoffs; I cant even fathom them having a shot at the Super Bowl. Dallas Cowboys +2500 (bet $10 to win $260 total), Realistically, Dallas is in the second tier of teams that could win the Super Bowl.. Everyone's mind goes to Rex Grossman, but people forget this overall team was more than their quarterback. Rookie head coaches and rookie quarterbacks don't typically generate Super Bowl contenders. WebJim Caldwell is may be the worst coach to ever make it to the Super Bowl, but he didn't win. Jalen Hurts will not pull a Kurt Warner this year and lead the Eagles to the Super Bowl.. The game did not feature nearly as dramatic an ending as the rest of the top-10, but it was a game full of Hall of Famers all playing at a high level. That being said, wait until they lose the opener to Tampa, and then get them at possibly better odds. 14. There are no arguments to be made: This is the greatest Super Bowl of all-time. Head coach Kliff Kingsbury has to commit to running the ball besides using Murray on designed carries, or else Arizona will experience the same second-half swoon as last year. Chicago Bears +5000 (bet $10 to win $510 total). Both halves of this one were capped off by remarkable plays. Of course, it is impossible to label a Super Bowl-winning team as average, but this 49ers team was certainly not up to par with others. So their overall grade suffered. But hey, they did something right, they were in the Super Bowl. Ken Anderson led his team to 124. The Bucs finished the season, including playoffs, with the sixth-most efficient defense under coordinator Todd Bowles. And to help you out, we ranked all 32 teams ahead of this season by the value on the odds they'll win the Super Bowl.. Over the past three years, Cousins is seventh in passer rating (103.6), second in completion percentage (69.03), fifth in passing touchdowns (91), and 10th in yards per attempt (7.77). It has happened 8 times to 7 different teams. Interestingly enough, not only has no team won 3 in a row, not a single team has ever made it back to Yeah, this one wasnt compelling for neutral viewers. ", Remember, this is about *value* in Super Bowl odds. This team is starting to scratch the surface of its potential. At 10-4-1, this Broncos team was better balanced than the '86 team. Los Angeles Rams +1400 (bet $10 to win $150 total). worst defense to win super bowl Christian McCaffrey's return makes the Panthers formidable, as the front office restructured the offensive line. Will this be the first time for everything?. The market is super high on Buffalo theyre only underdogs in two games, vs Tampa and KC but there likely will be some form of regression. Sometimes it's better to be lucky than good. Super Bowl MVP Pick. ONCE. Phil Simms set the record for completion percentage after finishing 22-of-25 in an MVP effort. The Falcons still have Matt Ryan at quarterback, who has thrown for the most passing yards in the league over the last three years and has a emerging star in Calvin Ridley and a game-changing tight end in rookie first-rounderKyle Pitts. 1 pick than the 2021 Houston Texans, at 24%. If you look at the teams in this stratosphere, theres a lot of continuity at the coordinator positions and, obviously, head coach and QB. Tennessee's offense is going to have to do most of the work in order to repeat at AFC South champions. The NFC West features three of FPI's top 10 teams in the Rams, 49ers and Seahawks, and the 21st-ranked Cardinals aren't necessarily an easy out, either. Allowed 173 yards per game on the ground lmao this1dude88 Chiefs 4 yr. ago That defense became dominant Webworst defense to win super bowlaiken county sc register of deeds worst defense to win super bowl Ask Dan Marino, who went to one. The Worst Teams in NFL History to Win a Super Bowl It was called the "Blunder Bowl" for a reason. They were the 3rd best scoring offense in the league, but 28th on defense. Peyton Mannings struggles reinforced the notion that he could be great in the regular season but collapsed in the playoffs. In fact, he is widely regarded as one of the worst starting quarterbacks to ever win a Super Bowl. You may have been expecting one of the more famous Super Bowl results to land a little higher on the list. The worst of the Bills Super Bowl teams at 115, but Jim Kelly and Thurman Thomas still elevated them offensively. Shaun Alexander had 1,880 rushing yards and 27 touchdowns.Shaun Alexander had 1,880 rushing yards and 27 touchdowns! (Hey, at least it worked out for them with Trevor Lawrence being available.). A 15-1 team, losing to the Atlanta Falcons by a single touchdown, the 2015 Carolina Panthers were a dominant offensive force with an underrated defense. And we'll start with the Chiefs: More: Team-by-team strength-of-schedule rankings. The Vikings have made the playoffs every odd-year season since coach Mike Zimmer took over in 2014, which bodes well for them in 2021. Two good-but-not-great teams playing an uncompetitive game with an unforgettable MVP? Ranking 12 teams that never won a Super Bowl by best chance This time, he didnt need a miracle catch to beat New England thanks to his sublime pass to Mario Manningham on the game-winning drive. 1 pick. Sure the game was over by the end of the second quarter, but watching Steve Young (six touchdown passes) and Jerry Rice (three touchdown receptions) tear up the Chargers was a joy to watch. The most interesting thing about this Super Bowl remains Hank Strams micd up footage. Four of those teams made the playoffs last year and Miami won 10 games. One could argue the Steelers have the worst QB in the division in 39-year old Ben Roethlisberger, who had 10 interceptions in the teams final seven games. Jacksonville was the worst team in the league last year, but the Jaguars were competitive in half of their games (seven of their losses were by one score). WebThe Los Angeles Rams won in Super Bowl LVI versus the Bengals on February 13, 2022. This Baltimore Colts was coached by Don Shula and averaged 28.7 points per game in the '60s. The Ravens and Browns rank fourth and sixth in FPI rating -- basically true talent level -- but are fifth and seventh in chances to reach the playoffs and win the Super Bowl, respectively. Boomer Esiason and the Bengals were the most productive offense in 1988. A great defense and front seven, but their running game hit on all cylinders with 2.305 total team rushing yards. The Broncos do have to see Mahomes and the Chiefs twice, but they play only four top-10 FPI teams and get the extra home game for being in the AFC. At best, the Falcons are a playoff team, but theyd need something calamitous to happen to the Bucs to have a shot to win the division., 21. In a 122 season, this team only surrendered more than 20 points once during the regular season. Jets, vs. Eagles, vs. Lions, vs. Bengals and a home-and-home with the Raiders. The "Greatest Show On Turf" was the potential dynasty derailed by New England Patriots.
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