The majority of people believe that a doctors approval should be needed for a person to change their sex in law. A report released in 2017, entitled From Indyref1 to Indyref2? SNP MP apologises over ignorant racial slur, Boris Johnson may have misled parliament on several occasions, Billionaires should not exist Bernie Sanders, Bernie Sanders issues stark warning to Brits over NHS, Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives, Elevenses: Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives. Those SNP MPs to lose their seats would include Amy Callaghan in East Dunbartonshire (to the Lib Dems) and Richard Thomson in Gordon (to the Tories). Topic . Stay informed. July 9, 2020 YouGov poll reveals vast majority (93%) of Brits don't wear real animal fur and do support a #FurFreeBritain; Government urged to end UK fur sales RT-Images/iStock.com Red fox lying in leaves LONDONBritish citizens overwhelmingly agree that the time has come for Britain to be fur-free. Click to get a sign-in link sent to your email. Although it is only a relatively small Scottish sample (148 people out of 1702 polled in total across the UK), the results would see 23 Nats lose their seats to leave them with 25 MPs. On moral issues, do we really want to take the American way? A majority of Scots back same-sex marriage, according to the most detailed survey of public opinion since MSPs began moves to change the law. Across the whole of the UK, the YouGov poll conducted on November 1-2 predicted Labour way out ahead on 50 per cent of the vote (down one point) and the Tories marooned on 25 per cent (up one point). Yahoo News / YouGov polls . Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations to gauge public attitudes to independence. Please click 'Sign in and Subscribe' to continue. The YouGov Cost of Living Segmentation YouGov 12:02 7-Feb-23. Labour has surged to its largest poll lead over the Conservatives in more than two decades, with voters turning against Kwasi Kwarteng's tax-cutting budget. However, there was even worse news for the SNP in the other new poll released by Redfield and Wilton Strategies on Thursday night and conducted on November 2-3. Question Asked "Imagine the next Westminster Election was a de facto referendum on Scottish Independence If the Westminster Election was taking place tomorrow, and there was a candidate from all political parties standing in your constituency, which party do you think you would vote for? The rank outsider to become First Minister has only received the public backing of one serving politician, Joanna Cherry, amid struggles to get her campaign going. Yes at 46 per cent when Nicola Sturgeon quit with Labour support rising, poll finds. What next for Jeremy Corbyn and the Labour left? Get the latest news from the Express straight to your inbox. You can also SUBSCRIBE TO OUR NEWSLETTER . Forgot your password? Charities & not-for-profit. Which party will you vote for? YouGov said that among those who voted Conservative in 2019 but now say they plan to vote Labour, Sunak's net favourability score, the percentage who have a 'favourable' opinion minus the . Glasgow bakery Mortons Rolls 'ceases all trading' in 'hammer blow' to city, Ken Bruce leaves BBC with veiled jibe after they ended his show early over concerns was free, The SNP is tearing itself apart and its delicious to watch, Dumbarton police stop 'dangerous' vehicle on A82 as driver fails cannabis test, Scots on alert for snow and ice as country prepares for coldest day of the year, Row over pupils who damaged Koran raises free speech concerns Braverman, Suella Braverman to issue blasphemy guidance for schools following Quran incident in Wakefield, Snow and ice warning as coldest day of year so far to hit UK as temperatures plummet, Met Office issues weather warnings with snow and ice on way with temperatures feeling as low as, How bad are the pics?: WhatsApps show UK health secretary Matt Hancocks reaction after CCTV, WhatsApp leak reveals Hancocks 41-hour battle to save job over affair, Hancock hit out at Sunak amid fears Eat Out to Help Out spread Covid, Hancock hit out at Sunak amid concerns over Eat Out to Help Out scheme, King Charles to get holy oil from Jerusalem for coronation ceremony, Oil for UKs Charles IIIs coronation consecrated in Jerusalem, 'Pincers are closing': Ukrainian forces under pressure as Russians shell roads out of Bakhmut, Ukraine latest: Forces under severe pressure in Bakhmut, says UK military, Thousands protest over economic woes in Tunisia, Tunisians take part in UGTT labour union anti-government rally, UN nuclear chief cites cooperation with Iran on issues obstructing nuclear deal, UN nuclear chief hopeful for 'important agreements' during Iran visit, Indonesians search charred homes after fuel depot fire kills 18, At least 15 dead after Jakarta fuel depot fire engulfs neighborhood, Australian and US police seize 640m of cocaine and swap it for fake drugs to catch smuggling, Australia's 'biggest drug bust' stops 500m of cocaine from entering country, Sport Utility Vehicle for sale in Scotland, Hatchback cars for sale in Central Scotland, Cars with alloy wheels for sale in Scotland, Used cars with alloy wheels for sale in Scotland, Forgot your password? The latest YouGov/Times vote intention poll shows the Labour party on 54% of the vote, up nine points on their previous record high with YouGov on Monday. Please read our privacy policy and terms of use before signing up. NewsNow aims to be the world's most accurate and comprehensive aggregator of news about Scotland opinion polls, which are carried out by various polling companies, including members of the British Polling Council (BPC), such as YouGov, Ipsos MORI, and Survation. Notable recent election polls The other tables reflect different ways questions around Independence can be asked, they may produce different results. Inside Labour's battle to retake Scotland as party warned not to 'count chickens too soon', Public mental health is the true measure of political success. Polling, even using the same question, can show systematic differences between different polling organisations and sponsors. Crucially for the Union, the SNP would be some distance off a majority share if the election was to be regarded as a 'de facto' referendum on independence, as Nicola Sturgeon has suggested. We are sorry, but the email address you entered does not appear to be valid. The latest YouGov poll, of 1,088 voters in Scotland from January 23 to January 26, found that Sturgeons approval rating had slipped into negative territory, from +7 to -4, since October. However in the aftermath of fresh partygate allegations in January 2022, followed by the publication of the Gray report in February 2022, the Conservatives dropped to their lowest polling position for over a quarter of a century, falling to a point last seen during the midst of the Major government back in the 1990s. In terms of translating these election poll findings into a projected make up of the current House of Commons, Politics.co.uk has used the Butler method to calculate the current swing between the parties compared to the 2019 General Election. At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. Easy-to-digest video clips. Kemi Badenoch, who has proved popular . Excluding those who declare themselves to be undecided (currently around 6% of the electorate), polling averages from February 2023 places the Yes side at 47.1% and the No side at 52.9%. Full question: Nicola Sturgeon says the SNP will fight the next General Election as a de facto referendum on independence. and given the options of "For Scotland to become an independent country" and "For Scotland to remain as part of the United Kingdom", which have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively. Polling of British voters on whether the United Kingdom should rejoin the European Union. All Rights Reserved. In the space of a month, support for the SNP in the next Scottish parliament election had fallen from 50 per cent to 44 per cent in the constituency vote . Any variations that might have an impact on the poll result, such as excluding 16- to 17-year-old voters, are recorded in the 'Notes' column. The company, based in Drumchapel, has reportedly ceased all trading with its annual results currently overdue by more than two months. The latest survey from YouGov has put Labour on 46% and the . Redfield and Wilton (5 February) which placed Labour on 50%, the Conservatives on 24%, and the Liberal Democrts on 10%. Analysis pieces written by YouGovs data journalists based on data collected about or relating to Voting Intention. The headline data used in calculating these averages has been drawn from that laid out in the published polls of a number of leading firms: YouGov, Opinium, Survation, SavantaComRes, Redfield and Wilton, Techne, Delta Poll,and Ipsos Mori. At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. A YouGov poll for the Times, reported today, found that nearly 50% of voters in Scotland who plan to vote Tory are doing so primarily to prevent a pro-independence majority in Holyrood. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. It is vital that free media is allowed to exist to expose hypocrisy, corruption, wrongdoing and abuse of power. You can unsubscribe whenever you want. Trump. The YouGov poll released on Monday night put the lead for the no campaign at six points, down from 14 points in the middle of August and 22 points early last month. A poll of more than 1,000 people . This time 12 months ago, the Conservative party was still just ahead in the polls. They do not factor in the potential for further additional regional or constituency centric swings. President has no right to express opinion on legality of LG polls: AKD Sri Lanka Daily Mirror 02:32 25-Feb-23. Latest Westminster voting intention (14-15 Feb)Con: 22% (-2 from 8-9 Feb)Lab: 50% (+3)Lib Dem: 9% (-1)Reform UK: 7% (+1)Green: 6% (=)SNP: 4% (=)https://t.co/WMc2U2wZbs pic.twitter.com/NZ9QZygUG7. The survey puts Yes and No roughly neck-and-neck, which has been a consistent trend in polling for over a year. The Boundary Commission is currently in the midst of a review designed to better equalise constituency sizes. Automotive. The historic oil recipe is based on what was used at the coronation of Queen Elizabeth II, the formula of which has been used for hundreds of years. excludes 16 and 17 year-olds and did not ascertain likelihood to vote. The Aberdeen youth product is training with the under-21s after falling out-of-favour on Tyneside. ), Lord Ashcroft poll, reported in Holyrood on 13 Feb 2023Full results. Dates. Latest opinion polls news, commentary and analysis, including political and voting intention polls, by polling companies including YouGov, Ipsos MORI and Survation. By clicking 'Sign in and Subscribe' you agree to us subscribing you to our newsletter in accordance with our Privacy Policy and Legal Notice.Emails, which may be sent daily or less frequently, may include marketing elements. The Conservative party regained a minor amount of ground in the first 3 weeks of the Rishi Sunak premiership, but Mr Sunaks honeymoon period has been short lived, and those advances stalled soon after Jeremy Hunts financial statement. backed Scotland becoming an independent country. By the second half of 2020, in November 2020, the Yes campaign reached a record level of 56% in the polls. In the midst of the coronavirus pandemic, one in which the Scottish government took responsibility for the handling of the virus in Scotland, there were signs of sustained backing for Scottish independence for the first time. Excluding those who declare themselves to be undecided (currently around 6% of the electorate), polling averages from February 2023. places the Yes side at 47.1% and the No side at 52.9%. This analysis has drawn on the latest opinion polls that were specific to Wales and Scotland respectively. The use of this format has been criticised by pro-independence politicians. Prince Harry's popularity in the UK has decreased by 35 percentage points over the past four years, a new survey by IPSOS has found. Sturgeon Still Scotland's Most Popular Politician Despite 12% Margin Against Independence, Lesley Riddoch: A Nordic solution to Scotlands invisibility within the UK, Tories could be reduced to third UK party, shock opinion poll warns, Nicola Sturgeon responds to popularity rating drop amid trans prisoner row. And 50% of those who voted Lib Dem in 2019 would now vote for Labour, up from 27% at the start of this week. Scottish NHS staff reject latest pay offer and threaten 'unprecedented' strike action, Nicola Sturgeons SNP government blocking Scotlands 'success in the UK', says Sir Keir Starmer, Met Police in London urged to investigate the SNP's Covid 'crime of the century', Campaigners believe longstanding failures in the Scottish healthcare regulation were exacerbated by the coronavirus pandemic, leading to up to 30,000 avoidable deaths and they won't stop until they get justice, Prince Harry feels 'stuck' with Meghan Markle in America as biographer claims he wants them to come home, The Duke and Duchess of Sussex quit the UK in 2020 but observers reckon the move has not worked out for them, Tax authorities 'destroyed' Rangers, former chairman Charles Green tells court, Green also spoke of his dislike for Craig Whyte, telling the court 'if we had a collection in this court we would have more money from that than Craig Whyte would ever have', Prince Harry set to lose Dukedom as King's eviction is block on him 'deputising', More rejection for Prince Harry as experts reckon his UK eviction is a tactical move to stop him from being able to step into Royal roles in the event of King Charles's absence, Nicola Sturgeon and Peter Murrell's joint bank account is key to resignation, says Private Eye, The outgoing SNP leader and her chief executive husband are urged to answer the question about whether or not they have a joint bank account, as the magazine says Operation Branchform was the 'game-changer' behind shock resignation, Teaching strikes reprieve in doubt as union blasts 14% pay rise as 'paltry'. @britainelects. In terms of specific adjustments then made to this analysis, Politics.co.uk has assumed that the Green MP Caroline Lucas would continue to hold her safe seat in Brighton Pavilion, and that Sir Lindsay Hoyle would be returned as Speaker for his constituency of Chorley. Scottish opinion polls (Westminster voting intention) since the December 2019 general election are listed here . Don't miss out! ", Question asked was "In principle, do you think there should or Polling conducted before the 2014 Scottish independence referendum can be found here. This Conservative poll lead coincided with the unusual event of a governing party winning a seat from the Opposition, as occurred in the May 2021 Hartlepool by-election. "Yes to an independent Scotland", "No to an independent Scotland", "I will not vote" and "I am not registered to vote" were the options given. ", 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum, Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill, COVID-19 vaccination in the United Kingdom, Opinion polling for the 2014 Scottish independence referendum, https://www.supremecourt.uk/cases/docs/uksc-2022-0098-judgment.pdf, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Opinion_polling_on_Scottish_independence&oldid=1142782908, Scotland should become independent, separate from the UK and the European Union, Scotland should become independent, separate from the UK but part of the European Union, Scotland should remain part of the UK, with its own elected parliament which has some taxation powers, Scotland should remain part of the UK, with its own elected parliament which has no taxation powers. YouGov, Panelbase, reported in the Times, 27 Nov 2021, Scot Goes Pop, Panelbase, reported in the Times, 31 Oct 2021Report I Data, For Women Scotland, 2023.For Women Scotland is a not-for-profit company limited by guarantee. The figures show the Conservatives on 28% of the vote (-4 from our previous survey on 21-23 September) to Labour's 45% (+5) - this is the highest Labour lead YouGov has ever recorded. Last updated Feb 21, 2023 View all Surveys (8) Education. However support for Scottish independence grew significantly during the 1980s, particularly as Margaret Thatchers tenure in office continued. Pollsters showed that Liberal Democrat voting intention during most of this Parliament has been constant at around the 9% mark with only temporary uplifts above this point. Former Sun boss and arch right-winger Kelvin MacKenzie also seemed to reach the same conclusion. The latest voting intention survey puts Labour a whopping 28 points ahead of the Tories, with Rishi Sunaks party flirting with sub-20 numbers in what would be a historic low. Should religious people be allowed to hold top political jobs? A YouGov poll in March of last year found that 55% backed keeping the monarchy . The poll was conducted for The Sunday Times over the past week as a review for the Scottish Prison Service found that the process of admitting transgender people to prisons should be improved in the wake of the Isla Bryson case. 4th October 2022| Please read our privacy policy and terms of use before signing up. If you'd like to find out more about how polls work, how reliable they are and how to make sense of them, check out my book, Polling UnPacked: the History, Uses and Abuses of Political Opinion Polls, or sign up for my weekly email: In the case of Scotland, Politics.co.uk drew on the most recent Scottish voting intention polling data from Survation on 18 February. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous Scottish Parliament election, held . In February 2023, 47 percent of British adults would vote for the Labour Party in a . Although these recommendations are yet to be finalized, the next General Election will almost certainly be fought on a redrawn constituency map. Business & professional services. Can the public identify the Deputy Leader of the Labour Party? Related: Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives. In the latest YouGov voting intention poll, the Conservatives have closed their gap with Labour to just four points. Keir Starmer has finally found his Clause IV moment. "If the SNP did campaign on the next General Election as a 'de facto' second Scottish independence referendum, which of the following parties do you think you would vote for, or would you vote for another party?". When Johnson announced his resignation on July 7, 2022, YouGov polling showed Labour on 40% and the Tories on 29% an 11 point lead. Following a lull in political activity over Christmas 2021, the Conservatives appeared to be recovering in early 2022, clawing back approximately half of the poll losses that they had seen before the festive period. Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Voting Intention. (Excluding Dont Knows the margin is just shy of 70/30, very similar to the margin by which people in polls oppose self-ID generally. This feed updates continuously 24/7 so check back regularly. Scottish election 2021: Polling expert says SNP majority 'on a knife-edge' Small movements in the polls between now and May 6 could make an "important difference to the outcome", according to . This once again reaffirms how sleaze and scandal remain the most potent political weapons in British politics, ones which can quickly and easily cut through to voters. Respondents saying they would prefer Scotland to vote for or against independence have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively, while respondents saying they "don't mind either way" have been assigned as undecided. Last updated Nov 16, 2022 View all Trackers (4) Support for creation of a new English Parliament along the lines of the existing Scottish Parliament politics Surveys Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Scottish independence. Between January 2015 and December 2022 over 230 polls have been published and recorded in the main table. should not be a referendum on Scottish The TLE shop is also now open, with all profits going to supporting our work. Changes are shown as (vs that poll / vs last election). Easy-to-digest video clips. * Prediction from Electoral Calculus using the figures from the latest YouGov opinion poll. This drop off appears to dovetail with a growth in support in the opinion polls for the Scottish labour party under Anas Sarwar. ", Question asked: "As you may know, the UK Supreme Court has ruled that the Scottish Parliament cannot hold another independence referendum without the UK Government's agreement. In Wales, Plaid Cymru is currently on course to lose one seat to Labour. A YouGov poll shows 56% of Scots support the . With plans for the establishment of a Scottish parliament in Holyrood by the Blair government in the late 1990s, support for Scottish independence rose once again. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "Do you agree that Scotland should become an independent country?" Britain Elects deals in poll aggregation alongside analysis of upcoming elections and the state of British public opinion. Under the current polling, Labour is on course to win seats in parts of the country where it has always been a distant spectator, such as both Bournemouth constituencies in Dorset, Macclesfield in Cheshire, Aylesbury in Buckingham, Southend East in Essex, Weston Super Mare, and Bromley and Chiselhurst in south east London. Indeed by the time that the Scot, Gordon Brown, became prime minister in 2007, support for Scottish independence had fallen back to 24%, its lowest level for over two decades. Most polling companies listed here are members of the . Under this unlikely but not impossible scenario, the Electoral Calculus seat predictor says Labour would end up with 37 Scottish MPs, the SNP would have 10, the Tories seven and the Lib Dems five. independence? This page was last edited on 4 March 2023, at 10:18. Please try different keywords. The previous YouGov covered the 23rd - 26th of January. YouGov poll, reported in the Telegraph on 31 Jan 2023Full results, The Times poll, conducted by YouGov, reported on 21 Jan 2023, Wings Over Scotland/The Times poll, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 19 Dec 2022: Why do SNP voters hate women?, The Times poll, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 17 Dec 2022, The Times poll, reported on 16 Oct 2022Full results. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. In doing so the Lib Dems would defeat both the deputy prime minister, Dominic Raab, and the Chancellor, Jeremy Hunt. /Which party are you most inclined to support? These levels peaked at just under 40% in the late 1980s, the time that the poll tax was introduced a year early in Scotland by the UK government. Under any election held on this basis, the Liberal Democrats would also be on course to gain 22 seats from the Conservatives. Opinion polling for UK general elections; 2010 election; Opinion polls: 2015 election; Opinion polls Leadership approval: 2017 election; Opinion polls Leadership approval: . [1] Following that judgment, the SNP reiterated its intention to campaign in the next UK general election as a de facto independence referendum. We don't have an account for this email address. Please ensure your password has at least 8 characters, an uppercase and a lowercase letter, and a number or symbol.
George Sauer Obituary, Love Is Blind Cast Birthdays, Steve Cohen Art Collection, Articles L